NEW YORK -- The third quarter is starting on a positive note for stocks after a mixed bag of economic data.
Major
stock indexes rose about 1 percent Wednesday after a report showing
stabilization in manufacturing activity in the United States. Investors
also appeared pleased about a fourth straight monthly rise in pending
home sales in May. European markets had risen earlier following
similarly upbeat data on manufacturing in that region.
Some of
Wednesday's bounce may simply be due to stocks appearing cheaper
following a big sell-off Tuesday and as investors look to put money to
work as the new quarter begins.
Stocks dropped sharply Tuesday on
a disappointing drop in consumer confidence but still ended the second
quarter with significant gains, giving the S&P 500 index its best
quarter in a decade.
"Some of the buying that wasn't done
yesterday is being done today," said Richard E. Cripps, chief market
strategist for Stifel Nicolaus. "I'm a little surprised. There isn't a
lot of convincing volume here to read too much into this."
Not
all the new economic data was upbeat. Construction spending fell in May
by more than the market expected, and the private sector lost more jobs
in June than anticipated. The most anticipated report of the week will
come on Thursday, when the Labor Department releases its June jobs
report.
Scott Fullman, director of derivatives investment
strategy for WJB Capital Group, said the employment report — along with
thin, pre-holiday trading volumes — could make for a volatile market
Thursday. U.S. markets are closed Friday in observance of the
Independence Day holiday.
Nonetheless, investors remain
optimistic that the economy will be in better shape by the end of the
year. "The belief is the worst is behind us," Fullman said.
In
midday trading, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 98.55, or 1.2
percent, to 8,545.55 The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 9.13, or
1 percent, to 928.45. The Nasdaq composite index rose 19.93, or 1.1
percent, to 1,854.97
About four stocks fell for every one that
fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to a
lower-than-usual 505 million shares. Low volumes can lead to high
volatility.
Bond prices were mostly lower on Wednesday. The yield
on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price,
rose to 3.56 percent from 3.54 percent late Tuesday.
In corporate
news, Citigroup Inc. sold NikkoCiti Trust and Banking Corp., part of
its Japanese business, to Nomura Trust and Banking Co. for $196
million. The New York bank, which has received $45 billion in
government aid, has been selling assets and trying to streamline
operations in an effort to return to profitability.
In an upbeat
earnings report, General Mills Inc. said its fiscal fourth-quarter
profit nearly doubled. The maker of Cheerios cereal and Yoplait yogurt
also offered earnings guidance for 2010 above analysts' expectations.
Shares rose $1.98, or 3.5 percent, to $58.
Analysts say earnings
reports coming in the next few weeks will largely determine which way
the market heads in the third quarter. Investors are especially eager
to hear what companies have to say about business prospects in the
second half of the year.
Markets have pulled a stunning recovery
since hitting 12-year lows in early March. All the major indexes rose
by double-digit percentage points in the second quarter, while the
S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq composite index finished higher for
the first six months of 2009.
The major indexes have pulled back
from multi-month highs in mid-June amid growing doubts about the
strength of the economy's recovery.
But Eric Ross, director of
research at Canaccord Adams, said he doesn't think investors have fully
appreciated how much the economy has stabilized.
"They are
waiting for another leg down on the market, and I'm not sure we're
going to see it," Ross said. "There is too much money on the sidelines."
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 10.34, or 2 percent, to 518.62.
The dollar fell against other major currencies, while gold prices rose.
Light, sweet crude fell 79 cents to $69.10 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Overseas,
Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 0.2 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose
2.2 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 2 percent, and France's CAC-40
jumped 2.4 percent.