WASHINGTON — Employers cut a larger-than-expected 467,000
jobs in June and the unemployment rate climbed to a 26-year high of 9.5
percent. Workers also saw weekly wages fall, suggesting Americans will
have little appetite to spend and the economy's road to recovery will
be bumpy.
The Labor Department report, released Thursday, showed
that even as the recession flashes signs of easing, companies likely
will want to keep a lid on costs and be wary of hiring until they feel
certain the economy is on solid ground.
President Barack Obama,
in an interview with The Associated Press, said he is "deeply
concerned" about unemployment and conceded that too many families are
worried about "whether they will be next" to suffer an economic blow.
He also expressed disappointment over the weak employment figures,
acknowledging that "what we are still seeing is too many jobs lost."
June's
payroll reductions were deeper than the 363,000 that economists
expected and average weekly earnings dropped to the lowest level in
nearly a year.
However, the rise in the unemployment rate from
9.4 percent in May wasn't as sharp as the expected 9.6 percent. Still,
many economists predict the jobless rate will hit 10 percent this year,
and keep rising into next year, before falling back.
All told, 14.7 million people were unemployed in June.
If
laid-off workers who have given up looking for new jobs or have settled
for part-time work are included, the unemployment rate would have been
16.5 percent in June, the highest on records dating to 1994.
"We
were on the road of things getting less bad in the jobs market, and
that has been temporarily waylaid," said economist Ken Mayland,
president of ClearView Economics. "But this doesn't change my view that
the recession will end later this year. We're probably two months away."
On
Wall Street, the employment news pulled stocks lower. The Dow Jones
industrials lost about 175 points in afternoon trading, and broader
indices also fell. Overseas markets dropped after a report showed
unemployment in Europe rose to a 10-year high in May.
Since the recession began in December 2007, the economy has lost a net total of 6.5 million jobs.
As
the downturn bites into sales and profits, companies have turned to
layoffs and other cost-cutting measures to survive. Those include
holding down workers' hours and freezing or cutting pay.
The average work week in June fell to 33 hours, the lowest on records dating to 1964.
"We
are in some very hard and severe economic times," Labor Secretary Hilda
Solis said in an interview. "The president and I are both not happy."
Still,
Solis thought it was too early to consider a second government
stimulus, saying more time is needed for the current one to take hold.
"I do think the public needs to be patient," she said. "We know they
are hurting."
Layoffs in May turned out to smaller, 322,000,
versus the 345,000 first reported. But job cuts in April were a bit
deeper — 519,000 versus 504,000, according to government data.
Even
with higher pace of job cuts in June, the report indicates that the
worst of the layoffs have passed. The deepest job cuts of the recession
came in January, when 741,000 jobs vanished, the most in any month
since 1949.
For the second quarter, job losses averaged 436,000 a
month. That was down from a monthly average of 691,000 in the first
quarter. Economists predict the economy will continue to lose jobs
through the rest of this year, although they hope at a slower pace.
And there was some other encouraging job news Thursday.
In
a separate report, the department said the number of newly laid-off
workers filing applications for unemployment benefits fell last week to
614,000, in line with economists' predictions. The number of people
continuing to draw benefits unexpectedly dropped to 6.7 million.
Meanwhile,
the Commerce Department said orders placed with U.S. factories rose 1.2
percent in May, the most in 11 months. The increase also was better
than economists expected.
Still, job losses last month were widespread.
Professional
and business services slashed 118,000 jobs, more than double the 48,000
cut in May. Manufacturers cut 136,000, down from 156,000. Construction
companies got rid of 79,000 jobs, up from 48,000 the previous month.
Retailers eliminated 21,000, up from 17,600. Financial activities cut
27,000, following 30,000 in May. The government cut 52,000 jobs, up
from 10,000 the previous month. Leisure and hospitality cut 18,000
jobs, erasing a gain of the same size in May.
One of the few industries adding jobs: education and health services, which added 34,000 positions last month and 47,000 in May.
Mayland
and other economists said a good chunk of June's job losses likely were
affected by shutdowns at General Motors Corp. and fallout from the
troubled auto industry, which should let up later this summer. The
government said employment at factories making autos and parts fell by
27,000 last month.
Payroll losses and the unemployment rate are
derived from two separate statistical surveys. The jobless rate
probably would have moved higher if not for people dropping out of the
labor force.
With the weakness in the job market, workers saw wages drop in June.
Average
weekly earnings fell from $613.34 in May, to $611.49 in June, the
lowest level in nearly a year and the first drop since March. That
raises fresh questions about consumers' willingness to spend in the
months ahead.
The worst crises in the housing, credit and
financial markets since the 1930s have plunged the country into the
longest recession since World War II.
Many think the jobless rate
could rise as high as 10.7 percent by the second quarter of next year
before it starts to make a slow descent. Some think the rate will top
out at 11 percent. The post-World War II high was 10.8 percent at the
end of 1982, when the country had suffered through a severe recession.
Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke predicts the recession will end this
year, with many economists forecasting that the economy will start to
grow again as soon as the current July-September quarter.
But
recoveries after financial crises tend to be slow, which is why
economists predict it will take years for the job market to return to
normal. Some predict the nation's unemployment rate won't drop to 5
percent until 2013.
An elevated unemployment rate could become a
political liability for Obama when congressional elections are held
next year. The last time the unemployment rate topped 10 percent, the
party of the president — then Ronald Reagan's GOP — lost 26 House seats
in midterm elections in 1982.
So far, many people are saving —
rather than spending — the extra money in their paychecks from Obama's
tax cut, blunting its help in bracing the economy. Much of the economic
benefit of Obama's increased government spending on big public works
projects won't kick in until 2010, analysts say.
The White House
last week said federal money was being shoveled out of Washington
quickly, but states aren't steering the cash to counties that need jobs
the most.
Large job cuts have continued this week. Newspaper
publisher Gannett Co. said it plans to cut 1,400 jobs in the next few
weeks, about 3 percent of the work force, as it faces a prolonged slump
in advertising revenue. Farm machinery company Deere & Co. said 800
salaried employees, or 3 percent of its salaried work force, took a
voluntary buyout offer.